How many Robinhood Chain memecoins survive? 93% go quiet by day two

Very few. NAVI counted every token launched through the Pons V2 factory on 30 September 2026: 6,931 launches. Only 5,172 of them (74.6%) saw a single trade from anyone other than the creator in their first 24 hours. Of those, 4,727 (91.4%) then went completely quiet, with no trade at all in the following 24 hours. Counted across all 6,931 launches, 6,477 (93.4%) had no trade between hours 24 and 48. Just 77 tokens (1.1%) graduated from the bonding curve.

For the median token, the last outside trade came about 30 minutes after launch.

One day is not a trend, and "no trade" is not the same as "worth zero". But it is the base rate to carry into every new launch on Robinhood Chain: the default outcome of a Pons token is silence within a day or two, and anything you buy early should be sized as if that is likely. If you want the mechanics first, start with our Pons launchpad explainer. Not financial advice. Most launches go to zero. Only trade what you can afford to lose.

Put the other way round: about one launch in four never found a single outside buyer, about three in four found at least one, and about one in fifteen was still trading a day later.

So even a token that finds a few buyers usually does not keep them. For one explanation of how a token can look busy at launch and have no real buyers afterwards, see the $18.43M rug ring investigation. A quick sell test matters more than a pretty chart, which is what the Robinhood Chain honeypot checker runs.

Graduation is when a token's curve fills and it moves into a Uniswap v4 pool. Our Pons graduation rate count put it at about 1.1% over a week, and 30 September matched at 77 of 6,931. For comparison, pump.fun's graduation rate has historically been reported at around 1% as well, see Pons vs pump.fun. Even graduates are no guarantee: 4 of the 77 had no trade at all in hours 24 to 48. Across 22 September to 4 October, NAVI counted 993 graduations from 90,960 launches, about 1.1% again.

Launches on 4 October were 62% below the 23 September peak, and the weekend of 3 and 4 October was about 28% below the weekend before. This lines up with the fall in Pons fees covered in Robinhood Chain volume and fees: fewer launches means fewer 1% curve trades. You can watch the newest launches, with a risk level beside each, on NAVI's new Pons launches list.

Between 22 September and 5 October (to about 19:20 UTC), NAVI counted 94,342 Pons V2 launches that used 39,037 different symbols. 72% of the launches shared their symbol with at least one other launch. The most reused symbols were SI (578 contracts), TEST (413), AI (283), VRAX (241), MUSE (211) and HOOD (199).

The big names are copied constantly. CASHCAT was used by 30 Pons launches, 14 of them with exactly the name Cash Cat. AI by 283, 37 with the name Artificial Inu. HI by 69, 13 with the name Hood Inu. AMC by 16. None of the seven CoinGecko-listed contracts we checked (Cash Cat, Artificial Inu, Boner Coin, Hood Inu, Chump Coin, A Meme Coin and Tendies) was launched through the Pons V2 factory, so every Pons token sharing their names is a different contract.

Being first is not a safe test either. The CoinGecko-listed Hood Inu was created on 4 October, after Pons launches named Hood Inu had started on 27 September. The reliable test is which contract the project's own channel and CoinGecko point to, matched character by character. See Hood Inu on Robinhood Chain, the CASHCAT copycat guide and AMC on Robinhood Chain for worked examples.

1. Treat a launch under a day old as most likely to go quiet. Size any position to something you can lose entirely. 2. Check the sell path before the chart. A simulated sell tells you more than a candle. Paste the contract into NAVI's Robinhood Chain token checker or read how the checks work in the token checker guide. 3. Check who holds the supply. Bundles of fresh wallets are the signature of the pattern in the rug ring investigation, and the top holder share at launch shows them. 4. Check whether liquidity is locked and how old the token is. 5. Confirm the contract address from CoinGecko or the project's own channel, never from a reply, because most tickers have copies. 6. Do not read a listed top ten as typical. Listed tokens are the survivors: the median one is already 70% below its high, as in this week's movers report. 7. Know the wider risks of the network itself, covered in Is Robinhood Chain safe?, and keep your own memecoin risk checklist for any chain.

Coming from Solana? The same discipline applies to pump.fun launches: see pump.fun token analysis and how to spot Solana rug pulls.

Launch logs come from the Pons V2 factory (0x7ed598bcef8bd9edd8c97a195c6d13f40801ec7e), event TokenLaunched, read through Robinhood Chain's public RPC. Block times are interpolated on a 2,000 block grid, with an error against each token's recorded launch time of about 2 seconds or less at the 99th percentile. Trades are curve CurveBuy and CurveSell events, plus Uniswap v4 Swap events for graduated pools. As a check, for 40 random tokens we flagged active and 40 we flagged silent, the curve's reserve changed during hours 24 to 48 for all 40 active tokens and none of the silent ones.

Limits: one day, not repeated across other days. Wallets that the creator controls but that do not match the deployer or fee recipient count as outside traders, which flatters survival. Every swap in a graduated pool counts as an outside trade because swaps go through a router. Tokens traded only on other venues are not visible. Pons V1 is excluded. We measured trade activity, not price. "Silent" does not mean the token has no value, only that no one traded it.

NAVI is independent and not affiliated with or endorsed by Robinhood. It is non-custodial: your own wallet signs every transaction.

Trading on NAVI is not available in every region. Pons curve trading is not offered to users in the United Kingdom, Stock Tokens are information only on NAVI, and you should never use a VPN to get around a regional block.

Paste any 0x address into NAVI's Robinhood Chain token scanner for a simulated buy and sell, taxes, owner powers, liquidity lock, holder concentration and Pons curve status. The honeypot checker runs the sell test on its own, token analytics shows charts, pools and holders, and the Robinhood Chain trending list and trending on all chains put a risk level beside each token. If you decide to trade, swap on Robinhood Chain shows the full cost before you sign, and how to buy memecoins on Robinhood Chain walks through it. NAVI never labels a token safe, and a check is evidence from one moment, not a promise about the next.

Not financial advice. Most launches go to zero. Only trade what you can afford to lose.